Depending on how involved you are in what is transpiring in the United States Supreme Court with Aereo, you might have a few opinions as to what exactly will happen and how the Justices will rule. The sad part is that no matter what happens, Aereo is going to lose.
If the decision, which isn’t expected until June at least according to ZDNet, goes in favor of the broadcast networks, then Aereo is literally in a tough spot. It probably doesn’t have the cash to pony up to pay the networks retransmission fees and the business model of the company isn’t built that way anyhow, which means the company is out of business.
However, if Aereo comes down on the good side of the decision, then the networks will likely make good on their threats to abandon over-the-air broadcasts, which is the equivalent of sucking the oxygen out of the room. After all with no programming to show, Aereo has nothing to do and is likely out of business. In the end, the networks have all the cards.
According to Deadline.com, the big issue for the court is not affecting cloud computing and emerging technologies with a broad ruling. Once the Supreme Court figures out how to word the decision to not affect other types of technology, the ruling will probably come swiftly. The problem is there is a lot of technological jargon being thrown at these people and it might take a while to sort it out.
Just like Yahoo Tech points out, the real loser in the lawsuit is the consumer, or at least the consumer who wants to watch television. Aereo offers an alternative way to watch local channels for a small monthly fee without having to pay a subscription cost the way you would on Google Play, Amazon Instant Video, and even iTunes.
Whether or not consumers come out ahead regardless of the decision is going to be an intriguing question. One option is for networks to deliver content over the Internet for their own small fee, which could irk cable providers. While some do this already, airing the same episode on the Internet that is appearing on cable or broadcast at the same time is relatively uncharted waters.
The more alarming aspect for the networks is that TV is changing, and the fight against Aereo is more about fighting the change that everybody knows is coming and putting it off for a few more years.