In this article I looked at all the senate races in 2014.
There are 36 Senate races to be decided in 2014. Many, perhaps most, will not be close. However, quite a few probably will be close. In Kentucky, there is a race between the incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell and his challenger, Alison Lundergran Grimes.
In elections for President, Georgia has been very Republican. Romney beat Obama 60-38 and McCain beat Obama 57-41.
Statewide, in 2008, the Republican advantage is smaller but still substantial: In 2008, McConnell beat Lunsford 53-47 and in 2010, Kentucky’s other senator (Rand Paul) beat Jack Conway 56-44. Kentucky’s governor (Steven Beshear) is a Democrat but 5 of Kentucky’s 6 representatives in the House are Republican.
The Senate race
On the Democratic side, Grimes is running almost unopposed. She is currently the secretary of state of Kentucky. On the Issues rates her a centrist, although, since she has not been a member of Congress, there are relatively few votes of hers to go on. She is pro-choice, a proponent of women’s rights, pro-business and pro-coal. She wants there to be easier access to the polls and wants to modify ObamaCare.
- As expected Grimes won easily in today’s primary.
The Republican primary
The Republican primary includes five declared candidates but only two are given any chance. The clear favorite is the incumbent, McConnell, but his challenger (Matt Bevin) is challenging him from the right, which may hurt McConnell in November.
On the Issues rates McConnell a “hard core conservative”. He has taken the conservative view on virtually every issue. Progressive Punch rates him among the least progressive members of the Senate.
- May 20 – as expected, Mitch McConnell won easily in today’s primary
Recent polls show a very tight race in November. The most recent PPP poll showed McConnell with a 1 point lead and 11% undecided.
- April 8 – Another PPP poll now shows Grimes with a 1 point lead
- April 23 – A NY Times poll has McConnell up by 1
- May 13 – A Marist poll has McConnell up by 1
- May 20 – SurveyUSA finds Grimes up by 1
- May 30 – Rasmussen finds McConnell up by 7
- June 13 – Magellan has Grimes ahead by 3
- June 26 – PPP has Grimes ahead by 2
According to the FEC, at the end of 2013, Grimes had raised $4.6 million and had $3.3 million cash on hand. McConnell had raised $8.5 million and nearly $11 million cash on hand.
- 1st Quarter
- April 15 – McConnell raised $2.4 million has $10.4 million on hand. Bevin raised $1.1 million
- April 16 – Grimes raised $2.7 million and has $5 million on hand
This is certainly a race to watch! Kentucky is a Republican state, but McConnell is unpopular and Grimes is a fresh face. This is a chance for a Democratic pickup
- May 21: Although yesterday’s primary didn’t bring any surprises in terms of who won, one note is that Lundergan Grimes got almost as many votes as McConnell and Bevin combined, and more votes were cast in the Democratic primary than the Republican one.
Election results: http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
Fundraising and other stuff http://www.fec.gov/data/CandidateSummary.do
On the issues: http://www.ontheissues.org/senate/Alison_Grimes.htm